ideas & projects · one lane, two weights

Where the instruments get used. And talked about.

Ideas are light: a title and a few lines, in conversation with what is current. Projects are the showcase unit: the decision, the measurement, one image — and the reading under the lens. Every entry has two layers.

the surface says what; the lens says why.
ideas — light · nine, in three groups

Three groups of questions. One lens.

01 — institutions · the rules under the outcomes
RESOURCES ↔ RULES

Rich ground, poor rules

I grew up in a country with a great deal in the ground that struggles anyway. Institutions decide what the ground is worth.

inclusive vs extractive is not a moral label. it is a different payoff table for whoever holds the pen.
MERCANTILISM → INDUSTRY → ?

The eras of thinking

Each era changes the question wealth is asked. Gold, then output. The next question is unwritten.

the hidden variable in every era is who sets the parameter of thinking — the filter that decides which question counts.
PARETO ↔ THE HIDDEN SYSTEMS

The vital few doors

Of everything that happened in my first decade in Canada, three or four doors did most of the work.

the counterfactual is the whole argument, and it is the one column no dataset holds.
02 — incentives · the hidden layer
POSITION ↔ HORIZON

Survival mode

People in survival mode make short-sighted decisions — not because they are short-sighted, but because the position is.

a high discount rate is not a character flaw. it is the price of a future you cannot count on.
CAPITAL ↔ LABOUR

Growth without growing

The economy can be growing while individuals are not. Both are true at once; the gap has a mechanism.

growth is a sum, and a sum has no idea who it happened to. split it by capital and labour and the same number becomes two lives.
ENOUGH ↔ THE HOURS AFTER

Enough

Everyone should be able to reach enough: a decent life, a retirement, the occasional vacation. Past that, time is the wealth.

past enough, the marginal unit buys less than the marginal hour. that is where economics hands the question to philosophy.
03 — instruments · what the tools show, and what they miss
DIMINISHING RETURNS ↔ ENGLISH

The first thousand words

The first thousand English words changed my life; the last thousand changed almost nothing. The curve flattens where the accent stays.

marginal word, marginal value: past that point you are not buying words — you are buying the first try.
TRADE ↔ ENVIRONMENT

The Great Symbiosis

Trade and the environment are negatively compatible — but not as a fixed law. It depends on which regime you are in.

second best: when one distortion already exists, removing another can make things worse. the fitted line's real job is to tell you which regime you are in.
THE INPUT NOBODY COUNTS

Time to think

"Time to think is a unique luxury that we don't think much about." No account holds it; every life is priced by it.

ε — everything the model cannot hold. time to think lives there, with the doors I never saw.
projects — the showcase unit

Three plates. One is open.

Each unit is the decision, the measurement, one image of the work, and — under the lens — the reading: the mechanism under the number, in the economist's words.

Plate I · Case study · in progress

Toronto Animal Shelter Analytics

An adoption-outcome analysis of Toronto’s shelter data — the original portfolio project, now being rewritten as a proper case study with the methodology on the page.

adoption outcomes · open data · Toronto Case study in progress
the visual
the reading — analysis that starts from a life, not a dataset: the house pattern, proven once.
Plate II · Interactive · live

The Analyst Scout Dossier

An interactive, Football Manager–style map of the analytics craft — six pillars of attributes, twenty-two roles, one honest self-assessment.

six pillars · twenty-two roles Open the dossier →
the visual
statistical imagination applied to the unmeasurable — pointed at myself first.
Plate III · Practice · write-ups in progress

Analytics Engineering Work

The day craft: warehouse models, dashboards built to be trusted, and pipeline design that stays boring on purpose.

warehouse models · dashboards · pipeline design Write-ups in progress
the visual
the reading — what belongs to the employer stays there; the mechanism travels.

None of the instruments here are mine.

The looking is. where the looking comes from →